Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.185452 0.222547 0.262353 0.307951 0.358450 0.412393 0.474095
2025-02-16 0.129931 0.178328 0.234538 0.303416 0.384356 0.475348 0.584273
2025-02-23 0.090085 0.142681 0.208889 0.295346 0.402414 0.528050 0.684025
2025-03-02 0.058487 0.109523 0.179765 0.277678 0.405232 0.560923 0.760540
2025-03-09 0.042120 0.092723 0.168291 0.279616 0.430655 0.620682 0.870231
2025-03-16 0.027909 0.074768 0.151575 0.271563 0.441156 0.660898 0.956078
2025-03-23 0.021668 0.068323 0.150568 0.284670 0.479705 0.737497 1.089014
2025-03-30 0.014843 0.058041 0.141365 0.284149 0.498537 0.788111 1.189322
2025-04-06 0.010075 0.049882 0.134016 0.285138 0.518727 0.840346 1.292194
2025-04-13 0.007175 0.044766 0.131054 0.292362 0.547684 0.904663 1.411712
2025-04-20 0.005189 0.041009 0.129892 0.302067 0.580239 0.974260 1.539081
2025-04-27 0.003631 0.037444 0.128361 0.310713 0.611127 1.041863 1.664574
2025-05-04 0.001967 0.031455 0.120575 0.308023 0.624904 1.086486 1.761090
2025-05-11 0.001141 0.028082 0.117953 0.314209 0.652590 1.151368 1.886238
2025-05-18 0.000474 0.023556 0.111331 0.312176 0.666802 1.196915 1.985362
2025-05-25 0.000072 0.017601 0.098878 0.297355 0.659114 1.209902 2.039132
2025-06-01 0.000009 0.015340 0.096163 0.301440 0.682570 1.268949 2.157833
2025-06-08 NaN 0.011925 0.088418 0.294154 0.686213 1.298204 2.234668
2025-06-15 NaN 0.011497 0.090826 0.308665 0.727617 1.384891 2.393910
2025-06-22 NaN 0.009533 0.086760 0.308523 0.743358 1.432745 2.498185
2025-06-29 NaN 0.007977 0.083524 0.309806 0.761432 1.484257 2.608102
2025-07-06 NaN 0.007166 0.083149 0.317572 0.791164 1.554027 2.744928
2025-07-13 NaN 0.006636 0.083870 0.327897 0.825653 1.631486 2.893446